RT
RELMADA THERAPEUTICS, INC. (RLMD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 focused on pipeline execution and capital strength: Relmada reported lower operating expenses and net loss year over year, secured FDA alignment on two registrational paths for NDV-01 in NMIBC, and completed a $100M financing, extending cash runway into 2028 .
- Clinical data strengthened: NDV-01 showed 92% complete response at any time, 85% CR at nine months, and no ≥ Grade 3 TRAEs; subpopulation BCG‑unresponsive achieved 91% CR “any time” and 88% at nine months—supporting a potential best‑in‑class profile and rapid approval path in refractory settings .
- Operating discipline continues: R&D fell to $4.04M (from $11.15M YoY) and G&A to $6.29M (from $11.86M YoY); net loss narrowed to $10.09M ($0.30/share) from $21.73M ($0.72/share) in Q3 2024 .
- Stock reaction catalysts ahead: FDA-aligned Phase 3 initiations for two NDV‑01 indications and Sepranolone PWS Phase 2 in 1H 2026; 12‑month NDV‑01 data expected Q1 2026—each a potential inflection point .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- NDV‑01 efficacy and safety: 92% CR “any time,” 85% CR at nine months; no progression to muscle-invasive disease, no cystectomies, and no ≥ Grade 3 TRAEs—“Positive 9-month data… reinforce our confidence in NDV‑01’s potential” (CEO) .
- Regulatory alignment: FDA indicated a single‑arm registrational study may be acceptable for high‑risk second‑line BCG‑unresponsive patients; randomized adjuvant study post‑TURBT acceptable for intermediate‑risk; no additional non‑clinical studies required for 505(b)(2) NDA—“key de‑risking milestone” (CMO) .
- Capital runway: Completed $100M financing (≈$94M net), extending runway into 2028—“well capitalized… resources to support planned operations into 2028” (CFO, CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- Pre‑revenue profile persists; estimates unavailable: No revenue line items disclosed; Wall Street consensus EPS/revenue for Q3 2025 unavailable via S&P Global* .
- Cash and investments down sequentially prior to financing: Cash, equivalents & short‑term investments fell to $13.9M at 9/30/25 from $20.6M at 6/30/25 (before net offering proceeds), highlighting need for external capital ahead of Phase 3 scale‑up .
- Dilution risk and share count dynamics: Shares outstanding reported at 73,333,622 (as of Nov 10, 2025), implying potential dilution vs 33.19M weighted average shares; necessary for runway but a valuation headwind .
Financial Results
Income Statement Snapshot (USD Millions; EPS in USD)
Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Notes: Q3 2025 cash excludes ≈$94M net proceeds from the $100M offering closed Nov 5, 2025 .
KPIs – NDV‑01 Clinical Efficacy and Safety
*Includes patients with CR after re‑induction; 60% CR rate after re‑induction .
Segment Breakdown
- Not applicable; company is pre‑commercial and reports consolidated operating expenses .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Positive 9‑month data… and the positive outcome of our Type B meeting with the FDA further reinforce our confidence in NDV‑01’s potential to become a best‑in‑class treatment for NMIBC… The recent $100M underwritten financing provides the resources to drive forward the planned registrational studies for NDV‑01” .
- CMO (Oncology): “Securing FDA alignment for two distinct registrational paths provides a clear path to advance NDV‑01… We believe a single‑arm registrational study in high‑risk, refractory BCG‑unresponsive patients offers a rapid route to potential approval” .
- CFO: “Based on current plans, the company believes that its current cash balance, including net proceeds from the offering, is sufficient to support planned expenses into 2028” .
Q&A Highlights
- Indication strategy and market sizing: High‑risk BCG‑unresponsive (~8k/year) versus intermediate‑risk (~80k incident/prevalent/year; ~40k receive adjuvant therapy); plan to initiate both trials around Q2 2026 for operational efficiency .
- Trial timelines: High‑risk single‑arm: first patient Q2 2026; 3‑month data by Q4 2026; primary endpoint 12‑month CR in Q2 2027; topline Q2 2028. Intermediate‑risk adjuvant: enroll ~15 months; 18–24 months follow‑up; interim at 70% events .
- Pricing landscape: Reference to J&J INLEXZO ~$69k/dose with total first‑year ~ $700k, ZUSDURI ~ $120k/year; Relmada will be data‑driven and assess market reception to competitor pricing before setting NDV‑01 price .
- Differentiation and access: NDV‑01’s ready‑to‑use, in‑office 5‑minute intravesical instillation avoids specialized pharmacy and prolonged chair time—potentially expanding use in community urology (70–80% of care) versus conventional gem/doce hurdles .
- BRIDGE trial implications: If Gem/Doce proves non‑inferior to BCG (n≈800; readout ~2 years), NDV‑01’s ease of use and sustained release could unlock off‑label uptake and broaden adoption .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for RLMD’s quarter; Relmada is pre‑commercial and did not report revenue. As a result, no beat/miss analysis versus estimates can be provided for EPS or revenue.*
- Target Price Consensus Mean data retrieved for “Q3 2025” was not applicable to quarterly comparisons and is not used in this recap.*
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- NDV‑01 is building a high‑confidence efficacy and safety profile with 9‑month durability, and now has FDA‑aligned, two‑path registrational strategy—positioning for potential expedited approval in refractory BCG‑unresponsive patients .
- Capital risk materially reduced: $100M raise extends runway into 2028, enabling parallel Phase 3 starts for two indications and PWS Phase 2—all likely news catalysts through 2026–2028 .
- Operational leverage: Sustained cost discipline with YoY OpEx reductions and narrower net loss supports a cleaner setup ahead of trial scale‑up; watch for expense re‑acceleration as enrollment begins .
- Market access differentiation: NDV‑01’s ready‑to‑use format addresses community‑care bottlenecks for conventional gem/doce, a key commercial advantage vs competitors requiring complex administration .
- Pricing dynamics: Management indicates pricing will be data‑driven; competitor benchmarks range broadly ($120k–$700k/year). Adoption will hinge on clinical value, ease of use, and payer reception .
- Near‑term catalysts: 12‑month Phase 2 NDV‑01 data (Q1 2026), IND clearance and Phase 3 initiations (H1 2026), interim updates, and Sepranolone PWS Phase 2 start—each with potential to re‑rate the stock .
- Risk monitor: Execution on manufacturing scale‑up, regulatory interactions, enrollment pace (especially in BCG‑unresponsive CIS), and capital deployment discipline remain critical; dilution already evident in share count metrics .